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Roth vs Traditional IRA: Which one actually wins in the long run?

The debate is simpler than you think. If you expect to be in a higher tax bracket at retirement — which most young people will — the Roth IRA wins almost every time. Here's the math.

The core question is about taxes — now vs. later

A Traditional IRA gives you a tax deduction today. A Roth IRA gives you tax-free withdrawals in retirement. The question is simple: when do you want to pay taxes? When you're young and earning less — or when you're retired and (hopefully) living off decades of compounded growth?

For most people in their 20s and early 30s, the answer is obvious: pay taxes now, at your lower rate, and let decades of tax-free growth do the heavy lifting.

The Roth rule of thumb: If your current tax bracket is lower than you expect it to be in retirement, choose Roth. If you're in your highest earning years right now, Traditional may make more sense.

The numbers side by side

$0
Tax on Roth withdrawals in retirement
22%
Typical tax bracket for a 25-year-old earning $60k
$7,000
2025 annual contribution limit for both types

When Traditional wins

If you're currently in a high tax bracket — say, earning over $120,000 and in the 24% or 32% bracket — a Traditional IRA's upfront deduction becomes more valuable. You're getting a bigger tax break today, and you can invest the difference. It's also the right call if you expect to be in a lower bracket in retirement than you are now.

The Backdoor Roth: for high earners

Roth IRA contributions phase out above $146,000 (single, 2025). But high earners can still access Roth benefits through a "Backdoor Roth" — contributing to a non-deductible Traditional IRA and converting it to Roth. It's completely legal and widely used. Consult a financial advisor for the specifics.

See how your IRA could grow. Run the numbers with our compound interest calculator.

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This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or tax advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance.

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